RBI to hold rate cuts in 2017: Economists

Rate cut would squeeze interest rate differential

by Janhavi Behere

The 25 bps increase by the Federal Reserve in its policy rate might have put an end to the chance of RBI cutting the repo rate in 2017, as per a report by Business Standard. Economists interviewed by BS were of the opinion that since India needs foreign portfolio funds to bridge its current account deficit, it needs to maintain a certain interest rate differential, to attract dollar investors. A rate cut in India, followed by the much promised and widely expected two rate cuts by the Fed would squeeze that difference and could lead to an outflow.

References
1. http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/economists-see-no-rate-cut-by-rbi-in-2017-117031600874_1.html
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
3.7 -0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
99.5 +0.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
100.0 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
98.7 +0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Mar 17
New projects 1.45 2.40 1.40 2.87
Completed projects 0.90 2.20 0.88 1.65
Stalled projects 1.40 0.64 1.01 0.32
Revived projects 0.40 0.51 0.17 0.62
Implementation stalled projects 0.50 0.37 0.80 0.27
Updated on: 23 May 2017 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Mar 17
All listed Companies
 Income -0.9 2.1 6.3 10.3
 Expenses -0.3 1.9 6.6 9.5
 Net profit -4.0 14.6 37.8 37.5
 PAT margin (%) 6.9 6.9 6.1 7.3
 Count of Cos. 4,499 4,479 4,449 1,114
Non-financial Companies
 Income -2.5 0.6 6.1 12.7
 Expenses -2.9 -0.2 7.6 17.3
 Net profit 9.7 26.7 22.2 -7.0
 PAT margin (%) 7.4 6.9 6.2 10.0
 Net fixed assets -9.2 8.0
 Current assets 8.1 5.1
 Current liabilities 11.6 7.7
 Borrowings 3.1 7.1
 Reserves & surplus 8.4 12.7
 Count of Cos. 3,502 3,485 3,468 884
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 23 May 2017 8:29PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
All Companies
 Income 12.4 9.9 4.9 1.0
 Expenses 12.6 9.7 5.0 1.1
 Net profit 1.2 -3.1 2.1 -12.4
 PAT margin (%) 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.1
 Assets 14.3 12.2 9.3 8.1
 Net worth 9.5 9.6 8.6 7.4
 RONW (%) 6.8 6.1 6.1 5.5
 Count of Cos. 24,399 21,813 20,887 16,947
Non-financial Companies
 Income 11.7 9.6 4.0 0.0
 Expenses 12.0 9.2 4.1 -0.8
 Net profit -8.4 -3.8 -4.0 12.5
 PAT margin (%) 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.8
 Net fixed assets 12.9 11.6 13.0 12.4
 Net worth 7.7 8.6 7.2 6.7
 RONW (%) 5.5 5.0 4.9 5.8
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0
 Interest cover (times) 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.1
 Net working capital cycle (days) 72 69 67 66
 Count of Cos. 18,910 17,264 16,595 13,776
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 21 May 2017 10:44AM