50% of PSBs may breach at least one threshold under PCA framework: Fitch Ratings

High non-performing loans may result in breach

by Natasha Nadkar

According to Fitch Ratings, more than half of state-owned banks would breach at least one of the new thresholds specified by the RBI under its revised prompt corrective action (PCA) framework. High non-performing loans (NPLs) based on banks’ FY17 financial reports might result in such breach. Banks could be forced to conserve capital, increasing the risk of non-performance on bank capital instruments, as per Fitch. The rating agency also believes that weak banks could be identified as candidates for mergers by using the PCA framework. The RBI revised the Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) framework for banks on 13 April 2017 [see here].

References
1. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/one-in-two-public-sector-banks-may-require-prompt-corrective-action-fitch/article9654308.ece
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
3.5 +0.1
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
96.5 -0.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
96.2 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
96.8 -0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Mar 17
New projects 1.46 2.37 1.42 2.92
Completed projects 0.91 2.21 0.91 1.77
Stalled projects 1.40 0.64 1.01 0.35
Revived projects 0.40 0.51 0.17 0.62
Implementation stalled projects 0.50 0.37 0.80 0.27
Updated on: 28 Jun 2017 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Mar 17
All listed Companies
 Income -0.9 2.1 6.2 10.2
 Expenses -0.3 1.9 6.4 11.7
 Net profit -4.0 14.6 38.9 17.8
 PAT margin (%) 6.9 6.9 6.1 6.2
 Count of Cos. 4,519 4,489 4,485 4,305
Non-financial Companies
 Income -2.5 0.6 6.0 11.7
 Expenses -2.9 -0.2 7.4 15.4
 Net profit 9.7 26.7 23.4 -1.5
 PAT margin (%) 7.4 6.9 6.3 6.4
 Net fixed assets -9.2 7.7
 Current assets 8.1 2.4
 Current liabilities 11.6 9.4
 Borrowings 3.1 5.5
 Reserves & surplus 8.4 7.7
 Count of Cos. 3,515 3,491 3,491 3,359
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 28 Jun 2017 8:30PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
All Companies
 Income 12.5 9.9 5.0 1.0
 Expenses 12.8 9.8 5.0 1.1
 Net profit 1.1 -2.1 2.0 -11.6
 PAT margin (%) 3.6 3.2 3.3 3.2
 Assets 14.3 12.2 9.3 8.1
 Net worth 9.6 9.5 8.6 7.4
 RONW (%) 6.8 6.2 6.2 5.6
 Count of Cos. 24,675 22,117 21,242 17,323
Non-financial Companies
 Income 11.8 9.6 4.1 0.0
 Expenses 12.2 9.2 4.2 -0.8
 Net profit -8.5 -2.4 -5.0 12.5
 PAT margin (%) 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.9
 Net fixed assets 12.9 11.6 13.0 12.4
 Net worth 7.8 8.6 7.3 6.7
 RONW (%) 5.5 5.1 4.9 5.9
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0
 Interest cover (times) 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.1
 Net working capital cycle (days) 72 69 66 66
 Count of Cos. 19,170 17,554 16,934 14,134
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 08 Jun 2017 2:48PM

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