India's exports need to grow at 26.5% p.a. to achieve 5% share by 2021

Economic Survey suggests path to achieve the target

by Manasi Swamy

India’s exports need to grow at a CAGR of 26.5 per cent during 2017-21 to increase the country’s share in world exports to five per cent from 1.7 per cent in 2016, according to the Economic Survey Vol-2. To achieve this the survey advises to;

  • Adopt a demand based export basket diversification rather than a mere supply based strategy.
  • Reduce WTO bound tariffs, while retaining higher tariffs for sensitive and important items.
  • Streamline export promotion schemes in view of GST and downward revise duty drawback rates.
  • Develop on a war footing world class export infrastructure and logistics especially port-related.
  • Promote FDI linked and value added high-tech exports.
  • Have FTAs with major countries and expand engagement with BRICS and ASEAN.
  • Formulate clear-cut agri trade policy.
  • Increase participation of states in promotion of exports.

References
1. http://indiabudget.gov.in/es2016-17/echapter_vol2.pdf
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
4.8 -0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
93.0 +0.8
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
91.0 +0.6
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
96.0 +0.9
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17
New projects 2.32 3.77 2.02 0.88
Completed projects 1.00 1.91 1.13 0.70
Stalled projects 1.13 0.70 2.66 0.64
Revived projects 0.18 0.67 0.29 0.14
Implementation stalled projects 0.82 0.33 0.67 0.50
Updated on: 20 Oct 2017 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Sep 16 Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17
All listed Companies
 Income 2.1 6.2 10.2 10.2
 Expenses 1.9 6.3 11.9 10.5
 Net profit 14.6 40.3 16.8 -18.9
 PAT margin (%) 6.9 6.1 6.1 5.4
 Count of Cos. 4,503 4,503 4,427 4,257
Non-financial Companies
 Income 0.6 5.9 11.8 10.9
 Expenses -0.2 7.2 15.5 11.1
 Net profit 26.7 24.6 -1.1 -24.3
 PAT margin (%) 6.9 6.2 6.3 5.3
 Net fixed assets -9.2 7.5
 Current assets 8.1 2.1
 Current liabilities 11.7 8.5
 Borrowings 3.1 4.9
 Reserves & surplus 8.4 6.5
 Count of Cos. 3,476 3,482 3,432 3,324
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 20 Oct 2017 8:30PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
All Companies
 Income 12.6 10.0 5.1 1.1
 Expenses 12.8 9.8 5.2 1.2
 Net profit 1.0 -2.2 1.4 -12.6
 PAT margin (%) 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.0
 Assets 14.3 12.3 9.4 9.4
 Net worth 9.6 9.6 8.7 10.0
 RONW (%) 6.8 6.2 6.1 5.2
 Count of Cos. 26,117 23,850 23,499 19,777
Non-financial Companies
 Income 12.0 9.7 4.3 0.1
 Expenses 12.3 9.3 4.4 -0.6
 Net profit -8.5 -2.7 -5.9 11.6
 PAT margin (%) 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.6
 Net fixed assets 12.9 11.6 13.3 14.4
 Net worth 7.9 8.2 7.2 10.1
 RONW (%) 5.5 5.1 4.9 5.5
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0
 Interest cover (times) 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.0
 Net working capital cycle (days) 72 69 67 66
 Count of Cos. 20,489 19,109 18,976 16,329
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 20 Oct 2017 4:58PM

Time-series available since 2007-08