Strong global demand to balance rising crude oil production: IEA

Forecasts demand to grow by 1.5 mbpd in 2017 and 1.4 mbpd in 2018

by Arjit Singh Bhambra

The International Energy Agency (IEA), has revised its demand growth forecast for the global energy market in 2017 to 1.5 million barrels per day (mbpd) from 1.4 mbpd earlier. The agency expects the global crude oil demand to increase further by 1.4 mbpd in 2018. It believes that the 1.2 mbpd cut in output by the OPEC nations and 0.6 mbpd by the non-OPEC countries till March 2018 will support oil prices in the international market. However, weak compliance by certain OPEC nations (Algeria, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates) to the production cut agreement, at lowest levels of 75 per cent since January 2017, along with rising non-OPEC nations output (expected to increase by 0.7 mbpd in 2017 and by 1.4 million bpd in 2018) remains a challenge.

References
1. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iea-oil-idUSKBN1AR0M5
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
5.5 +0.1
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
96.1 +0.6
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
96.5 +0.6
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
95.5 +0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
New projects 1.26 1.49 3.43 2.27
Completed projects 1.25 1.16 1.43 0.82
Stalled projects 0.69 0.88 3.41 0.30
Revived projects 0.34 0.24 0.26 0.22
Implementation stalled projects 0.78 0.71 1.92 0.03
Updated on: 22 Jul 2018 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
All listed Companies
 Income 7.9 12.0 10.0 18.9
 Expenses 9.0 13.0 16.8 20.7
 Net profit -18.0 -14.3 -82.1 11.9
 PAT margin (%) 5.5 4.8 1.2 14.9
 Count of Cos. 4,502 4,493 4,288 134
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.2 13.3 11.5 18.6
 Expenses 8.1 12.3 12.4 21.4
 Net profit -6.1 13.2 -2.6 7.5
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 6.4 6.5 14.4
 Net fixed assets 9.2 11.9
 Current assets 2.9 8.0
 Current liabilities 11.0 10.3
 Borrowings 3.4 1.8
 Reserves & surplus 7.9 7.8
 Count of Cos. 3,461 3,464 3,319 99
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 22 Jul 2018 8:20PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
All Companies
 Income 5.6 1.8 5.9 11.6
 Expenses 5.7 1.9 5.9 16.1
 Net profit 0.1 -9.7 25.3 -43.1
 PAT margin (%) 3.0 2.8 3.4 4.3
 Assets 9.5 10.2 7.4 14.3
 Net worth 8.5 11.3 7.6 13.7
 RONW (%) 5.8 4.9 5.8 5.3
 Count of Cos. 26,129 24,412 21,971 368
Non-financial Companies
 Income 4.9 1.0 5.7 9.9
 Expenses 5.0 0.3 6.1 9.2
 Net profit -8.6 19.9 20.2 8.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.4 3.0 12.1
 Net fixed assets 13.3 17.8 6.6 55.5
 Net worth 7.0 12.1 6.5 10.3
 RONW (%) 4.6 5.1 5.9 15.0
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.3
 Interest cover (times) 1.9 1.9 2.1 8.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 66 65 62 7
 Count of Cos. 21,306 20,431 18,292 255
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 20 Jul 2018 4:05PM