India likely to overtake Japan in nominal GDP by 2028: BofAML

Projects 7% real GDP growth

by Nidhi Bhati

India is likely to emerge as the third largest economy overtaking Japan in nominal GDP by 2028, as per a report by BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research titled ‘India 2028: The last BRICK in the Wall’. The report highlights rise in saving and investment rate, financial liberalisation and the emergence of mass market as three key growth drivers for India over the next decade. It has projected the country’s real GDP growth at 7 per cent.

References
1. http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/india-to-overtake-japan-to-be-third-largest-economy-by-2028/931456/
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
6.2 +0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
101.5 +0.3
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
100.7 +0.5
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
99.5 +0.9
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
New projects 1.25 1.51 3.43 2.32
Completed projects 1.26 1.16 1.57 0.91
Stalled projects 0.69 0.88 3.44 0.30
Revived projects 0.34 0.24 0.26 0.22
Implementation stalled projects 0.78 0.71 1.92 0.04
Updated on: 18 Aug 2018 12:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
All listed Companies
 Income 7.9 12.0 9.7 16.3
 Expenses 9.0 13.0 16.2 19.4
 Net profit -18.0 -14.3 -80.1 3.7
 PAT margin (%) 5.5 4.8 1.2 5.5
 Count of Cos. 4,508 4,503 4,360 4,023
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.2 13.3 11.1 18.5
 Expenses 8.2 12.4 11.7 20.3
 Net profit -6.0 13.2 1.8 33.5
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 6.4 6.6 7.2
 Net fixed assets 9.2 11.8
 Current assets 2.9 7.2
 Current liabilities 11.0 10.4
 Borrowings 3.4 1.9
 Reserves & surplus 7.9 7.2
 Count of Cos. 3,464 3,471 3,372 3,172
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 18 Aug 2018 12:20PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
All Companies
 Income 5.6 1.8 6.0 9.9
 Expenses 5.7 1.9 6.0 13.3
 Net profit 0.1 -9.7 25.8 -37.5
 PAT margin (%) 3.0 2.8 3.5 4.2
 Assets 9.5 10.2 7.5 13.2
 Net worth 8.5 11.3 7.7 12.8
 RONW (%) 5.8 4.9 5.8 5.7
 Count of Cos. 26,178 24,474 22,051 749
Non-financial Companies
 Income 4.9 1.0 5.8 8.5
 Expenses 5.1 0.4 6.1 8.0
 Net profit -9.4 19.9 20.7 6.6
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.4 3.0 9.3
 Net fixed assets 13.3 17.9 6.7 27.6
 Net worth 7.0 12.0 6.6 9.7
 RONW (%) 4.6 5.1 5.9 13.2
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.4
 Interest cover (times) 1.9 1.9 2.1 6.2
 Net working capital cycle (days) 66 65 62 8
 Count of Cos. 21,351 20,488 18,371 585
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 12 Aug 2018 11:30AM