India likely to overtake Japan in nominal GDP by 2028: BofAML

Projects 7% real GDP growth

by Nidhi Bhati

India is likely to emerge as the third largest economy overtaking Japan in nominal GDP by 2028, as per a report by BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research titled ‘India 2028: The last BRICK in the Wall’. The report highlights rise in saving and investment rate, financial liberalisation and the emergence of mass market as three key growth drivers for India over the next decade. It has projected the country’s real GDP growth at 7 per cent.

References
1. http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/india-to-overtake-japan-to-be-third-largest-economy-by-2028/931456/
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
5.6 -0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
95.8 +0.4
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
93.9 +0.6
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
98.7 0.0
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17
New projects 2.33 3.79 2.06 0.99
Completed projects 1.01 1.94 1.14 0.99
Stalled projects 1.13 0.70 2.66 0.64
Revived projects 0.18 0.67 0.30 0.22
Implementation stalled projects 0.82 0.33 0.67 0.61
Updated on: 19 Nov 2017 4:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17
All listed Companies
 Income 6.2 10.2 9.9 8.6
 Expenses 6.3 11.9 10.1 9.9
 Net profit 40.3 15.7 -19.1 -17.9
 PAT margin (%) 6.1 6.0 5.4 6.0
 Count of Cos. 4,507 4,438 4,288 2,716
Non-financial Companies
 Income 5.9 11.8 10.6 8.6
 Expenses 7.2 15.6 10.8 8.6
 Net profit 24.5 -2.5 -24.4 -5.0
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 6.2 5.3 6.9
 Net fixed assets 6.9 10.0
 Current assets 2.6 2.1
 Current liabilities 8.8 9.9
 Borrowings 4.8 4.1
 Reserves & surplus 6.2 8.1
 Count of Cos. 3,488 3,439 3,340 1,982
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 19 Nov 2017 4:29PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
All Companies
 Income 10.0 5.2 1.1 6.6
 Expenses 9.9 5.2 1.2 6.8
 Net profit -2.2 1.6 -12.9 20.2
 PAT margin (%) 3.2 3.2 2.9 6.5
 Assets 12.3 9.4 9.6 8.8
 Net worth 9.6 8.7 10.3 8.5
 RONW (%) 6.2 6.1 5.1 9.6
 Count of Cos. 23,895 23,579 20,184 3,629
Non-financial Companies
 Income 9.7 4.3 0.1 6.5
 Expenses 9.3 4.5 -0.6 7.4
 Net profit -2.7 -5.5 11.5 14.3
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 2.1 2.6 6.5
 Net fixed assets 11.6 13.4 15.1 7.3
 Net worth 8.2 7.1 10.6 7.2
 RONW (%) 5.1 4.9 5.4 11.0
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6
 Interest cover (times) 2.0 1.9 2.0 3.7
 Net working capital cycle (days) 69 67 66 50
 Count of Cos. 19,154 19,053 16,707 2,782
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 15 Nov 2017 2:29PM

Data added for HPI at Assessment prices and HPI at Market prices