Global trade likely to fall by 7-9% in 2020: UNCTAD

by Nidhi Bhati

The value of global trade is set to decline by seven to nine per cent year-on-year in 2020, as per the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). As per the agency, global trade fell by 19 per cent y-o-y during the June 2020 quarter, but showed signs of improvement in the third quarter. Trade in home office equipment and medical supplies increased in the third quarter, while it further weakened in the automotive and energy sectors, it noted. Although, the UNCTAD observed improvement in growth, it said that if the pandemic resurges in coming months, it could lead to a deteriorating environment for policy-makers and sudden increase in trade restrictive policies.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/world-trade-rebounds-slowly-in-sept-quarter-outlook-uncertain/articleshow/78784165.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
6.6 0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
51.8 -0.3
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
53.6 -0.6
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
48.9 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 19 Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20
New projects 5.55 3.97 0.78 0.76
Completed projects 1.66 1.78 0.25 0.69
Stalled projects 0.61 0.73 0.11 0.08
Revived projects 0.83 0.42 0.68 0.34
Implementation stalled projects 0.13 10.02 0.09 0.03
Updated on: 01 Dec 2020 9:28AM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Dec 19 Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20
All listed Companies
 Income -1.7 -5.0 -27.6 -6.2
 Expenses -2.2 -1.9 -27.9 -10.1
 Net profit -10.9 -48.2 -40.2 45.3
 PAT margin (%) 5.1 2.4 5.3 8.3
 Count of Cos. 4,459 4,315 4,300 4,198
Non-financial Companies
 Income -5.5 -9.0 -37.4 -10.3
 Expenses -6.4 -5.0 -37.6 -14.0
 Net profit -13.9 -49.4 -55.7 30.0
 PAT margin (%) 5.7 3.3 4.5 8.1
 Net fixed assets 13.3 6.0
 Current assets 3.0 0.7
 Current liabilities 5.7 -2.9
 Borrowings 15.7 8.1
 Reserves & surplus 1.5 4.5
 Count of Cos. 3,312 3,229 3,221 3,160
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 01 Dec 2020 9:28AM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY18 FY19 FY20
All Companies
 Income 8.4 13.4 0.3
 Expenses 9.9 13.7 0.9
 Net profit -40.5 21.9 -18.3
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.3 4.2
 Assets 10.9 9.5 9.3
 Net worth 7.5 8.6 4.8
 RONW (%) 3.5 4.2 6.0
 Count of Cos. 28,425 27,638 6,888
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.7 13.9 -2.8
 Expenses 8.8 14.1 -1.7
 Net profit -9.1 23.0 -27.7
 PAT margin (%) 2.7 3.1 4.4
 Net fixed assets 7.2 5.5 13.2
 Net worth 6.1 8.4 1.7
 RONW (%) 5.6 6.8 7.5
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.0 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.1 2.4 2.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 77 70 57
 Count of Cos. 23,077 22,402 5,084
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 28 Nov 2020 11:22AM