D&B cautions about downside risks to growth amid uncertainty around Covid vaccine availability

by Nidhi Bhati

Even though the latest data points show an increase in the pace of economic activity, Dun & Bradstreet (D&B) cautioned that downside risks to growth still persist in view of a possible second wave of Covid-19 and an uncertainty over vaccine availability. A possible second wave of Covid-19 infections would lead to partial re-establishment of lockdowns, weaken the tentative signs of demand and dampen confidence level of global investors. D&B expects the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) to have grown by 0.2-0.5 per cent during October 2020. However, growth might taper off from November 2020 as base effect comes into play.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/downside-risks-to-growth-still-persist-amid-uncertainty-around-covid-vaccine-availability-db/articleshow/79447377.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
7.9 -3.6
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
53.2 0.0
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
54.8 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
50.7 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20
New projects 3.80 0.83 1.05 0.86
Completed projects 1.76 0.25 0.72 0.49
Stalled projects 0.73 0.11 0.08 0.30
Revived projects 0.42 0.68 0.36 0.08
Implementation stalled projects 10.18 0.09 0.07 0.12
Updated on: 16 Jan 2021 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20
All listed Companies
 Income -5.0 -27.6 -6.2 6.7
 Expenses -1.9 -27.9 -10.1 2.7
 Net profit -48.9 -40.2 45.2 26.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.3 5.3 8.3 21.4
 Count of Cos. 4,355 4,347 4,310 64
Non-financial Companies
 Income -9.0 -37.4 -10.4 7.0
 Expenses -4.9 -37.6 -14.0 2.9
 Net profit -50.1 -55.8 29.9 26.9
 PAT margin (%) 3.2 4.5 8.1 21.7
 Net fixed assets 13.3 5.9
 Current assets 3.6 0.8
 Current liabilities 6.2 -2.8
 Borrowings 15.9 8.1
 Reserves & surplus 1.3 4.5
 Count of Cos. 3,239 3,235 3,213 44
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 16 Jan 2021 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY18 FY19 FY20
All Companies
 Income 8.4 13.5 0.2
 Expenses 9.9 13.8 0.5
 Net profit -41.0 17.9 -11.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.2 3.9
 Assets 10.9 9.5 9.2
 Net worth 7.4 8.6 4.8
 RONW (%) 3.4 4.0 5.7
 Count of Cos. 29,264 28,548 9,649
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.6 14.1 -2.6
 Expenses 8.8 14.3 -1.8
 Net profit -9.5 22.0 -23.7
 PAT margin (%) 2.7 3.0 4.1
 Net fixed assets 7.2 5.4 13.0
 Net worth 6.1 8.3 2.1
 RONW (%) 5.6 6.7 7.2
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.0 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.1 2.3 2.6
 Net working capital cycle (days) 77 70 60
 Count of Cos. 23,680 23,061 7,171
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 14 Jan 2021 10:28AM