Icra forecasts India's real GDP to expand by 10.1% in FY22

by Nidhi Bhati

India’s real GDP is projected to record a growth of 10.1 per cent in 2021-22, according to Icra Ratings. The seemingly-sharp expansion will be led by the continued normalisation in economic activities as the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines gathers traction and the low base, it said. Icra’s Principal Economist Aditi Nayar expects a multi-speed recovery in the next fiscal, with the contact-intensive sectors, discretionary consumption and investment by the private sector trailing the rest of the economy. The agency further said that the headline CPI inflation is expected to decline to 4.6 per cent in 2021-22 from 6.4 per cent in 2020-21. It also forecasts that the central bank will maintain an extended pause for the repo rate.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indias-real-gdp-to-expand-by-10-1-in-fy2022-icra/articleshow/80214311.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
7.9 -3.6
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
53.2 0.0
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
54.8 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
50.7 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20
New projects 3.80 0.83 1.05 0.86
Completed projects 1.76 0.25 0.72 0.49
Stalled projects 0.73 0.11 0.08 0.30
Revived projects 0.42 0.68 0.36 0.08
Implementation stalled projects 10.18 0.09 0.07 0.12
Updated on: 16 Jan 2021 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20
All listed Companies
 Income -5.0 -27.6 -6.2 6.7
 Expenses -1.9 -27.9 -10.1 2.7
 Net profit -48.9 -40.2 45.2 26.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.3 5.3 8.3 21.4
 Count of Cos. 4,355 4,347 4,310 64
Non-financial Companies
 Income -9.0 -37.4 -10.4 7.0
 Expenses -4.9 -37.6 -14.0 2.9
 Net profit -50.1 -55.8 29.9 26.9
 PAT margin (%) 3.2 4.5 8.1 21.7
 Net fixed assets 13.3 5.9
 Current assets 3.6 0.8
 Current liabilities 6.2 -2.8
 Borrowings 15.9 8.1
 Reserves & surplus 1.3 4.5
 Count of Cos. 3,239 3,235 3,213 44
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 16 Jan 2021 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY18 FY19 FY20
All Companies
 Income 8.4 13.5 0.2
 Expenses 9.9 13.8 0.5
 Net profit -41.0 17.9 -11.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.2 3.9
 Assets 10.9 9.5 9.2
 Net worth 7.4 8.6 4.8
 RONW (%) 3.4 4.0 5.7
 Count of Cos. 29,264 28,548 9,649
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.6 14.1 -2.6
 Expenses 8.8 14.3 -1.8
 Net profit -9.5 22.0 -23.7
 PAT margin (%) 2.7 3.0 4.1
 Net fixed assets 7.2 5.4 13.0
 Net worth 6.1 8.3 2.1
 RONW (%) 5.6 6.7 7.2
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.0 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.1 2.3 2.6
 Net working capital cycle (days) 77 70 60
 Count of Cos. 23,680 23,061 7,171
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 14 Jan 2021 10:28AM