Indian economy continues to be weak: BofA

by Nidhi Bhati

The BofA India Activity Indicator fell by (-) 0.6 per cent in November on top of a (-) 0.8 per cent drop in October and (-) 4.6 per cent contraction in the September quarter, indicating that the Indian economy continues to be weak In view of this, BofA Securities has projected GVA contraction of one per cent for the December 2020 quarter and 6.7 per cent contraction for the full fiscal. On the credit growth front, the brokerage said that the rise in banking system advances seems to have bottomed out and the system will close with a growth of 6.2 per cent in 2020-21. On the positive side, it said credit demand is bottoming out and the real lending rates adjusted for wholesale price inflation are falling.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indian-economy-weak-credit-growth-bottoming-out-report/articleshow/80285984.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
6.8 0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
55.7 +0.3
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
57.7 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
52.5 +0.9
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20
New projects 3.83 0.91 1.33 0.93
Completed projects 1.73 0.26 0.72 0.69
Stalled projects 0.73 0.11 0.08 0.30
Revived projects 0.42 0.68 0.29 0.11
Implementation stalled projects 10.22 0.09 0.07 0.12
Updated on: 07 Mar 2021 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 20 Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20
All listed Companies
 Income -5.0 -27.6 -6.3 1.5
 Expenses -1.8 -27.9 -10.3 -0.1
 Net profit -51.1 -40.3 47.2 58.8
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 5.3 8.4 8.6
 Count of Cos. 4,376 4,373 4,372 4,323
Non-financial Companies
 Income -9.0 -37.4 -10.5 0.0
 Expenses -4.8 -37.7 -14.2 -1.0
 Net profit -52.2 -56.0 31.5 55.7
 PAT margin (%) 3.1 4.5 8.1 9.0
 Net fixed assets 13.5 5.8
 Current assets 2.5 0.7
 Current liabilities 5.4 -2.8
 Borrowings 15.8 8.1
 Reserves & surplus 1.7 4.4
 Count of Cos. 3,257 3,255 3,254 3,223
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 07 Mar 2021 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY18 FY19 FY20
All Companies
 Income 8.5 13.4 0.0
 Expenses 9.9 13.8 0.1
 Net profit -40.6 15.8 -10.5
 PAT margin (%) 1.9 2.2 3.7
 Assets 10.9 9.6 9.3
 Net worth 7.3 8.4 4.7
 RONW (%) 3.3 3.9 5.4
 Count of Cos. 30,466 29,959 11,603
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.6 14.1 -2.9
 Expenses 8.8 14.3 -2.3
 Net profit -10.3 21.3 -22.4
 PAT margin (%) 2.7 3.0 3.6
 Net fixed assets 7.2 5.5 12.0
 Net worth 5.9 8.0 1.7
 RONW (%) 5.5 6.5 6.4
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.0 0.9
 Interest cover (times) 2.1 2.3 2.4
 Net working capital cycle (days) 79 72 61
 Count of Cos. 24,480 24,021 8,388
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 05 Mar 2021 8:23AM