Second Covid-19 wave to delay base revision exercise for outdated CPI, GDP

by Nidhi Bhati

The second Covid-19 wave is expected to delay consumer expenditure survey in 2021-22, reported Business Standard. Consequently, base revision exercise for the country’s key macro-economic indicators such as consumer price index (CPI) and gross domestic product (GDP) will further get delayed, raising data quality concerns. Macro economic indices need to be revised every five years to keep up with the structural changes in spending patterns. Economists, too, have raised alarm about the outdated macro data as it impacts effective policy making. Earlier, revision of CPI and GDP base years from 2011-12 and 2012, respectively, was to happen on the outcomes of the consumer expenditure survey of 2017-18. But, the government junked the survey sometime back.

References
1. https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/covid-19-fallout-outdated-cpi-gdp-may-have-to-wait-longer-for-revision-121043001503_1.html
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
7.7 -0.4
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
54.8 -1.0
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
56.6 -0.5
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
52.0 -1.7
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20 Mar 21
New projects 0.96 1.41 1.16 1.52
Completed projects 0.28 0.73 0.83 0.88
Stalled projects 0.11 0.08 0.31 0.14
Revived projects 0.68 0.29 0.11 0.14
Implementation stalled projects 0.09 0.07 0.15 0.30
Updated on: 06 May 2021 9:28AM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Jun 20 Sep 20 Dec 20 Mar 21
All listed Companies
 Income -27.7 -6.3 1.6 11.7
 Expenses -27.9 -10.3 0.1 6.6
 Net profit -40.5 47.2 57.7 53.3
 PAT margin (%) 5.2 8.3 8.5 13.3
 Count of Cos. 4,401 4,402 4,376 274
Non-financial Companies
 Income -37.4 -10.5 0.2 16.2
 Expenses -37.7 -14.2 -0.7 12.8
 Net profit -56.0 31.5 54.3 34.1
 PAT margin (%) 4.5 8.1 8.9 13.4
 Net fixed assets 5.9 9.2
 Current assets 0.7 11.1
 Current liabilities -2.7 -15.8
 Borrowings 8.3 -11.0
 Reserves & surplus 4.2 21.4
 Count of Cos. 3,267 3,267 3,253 200
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 06 May 2021 9:28AM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY19 FY20 FY21
All Companies
 Income 13.4 0.0 -6.4
 Expenses 13.8 0.0 -7.3
 Net profit 15.2 -10.4 0.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.1 2.1 10.0
 Assets 9.8 8.1 0.7
 Net worth 8.4 4.4 -0.1
 RONW (%) 3.8 3.5 11.7
 Count of Cos. 30,871 29,514 44
Non-financial Companies
 Income 14.1 -1.9 -6.7
 Expenses 14.3 -1.6 -7.8
 Net profit 21.7 -20.6 1.3
 PAT margin (%) 2.9 2.4 10.6
 Net fixed assets 5.6 9.4 -0.2
 Net worth 8.0 2.1 -0.2
 RONW (%) 6.4 5.0 13.2
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.1 0.1
 Interest cover (times) 2.3 2.0 21.9
 Net working capital cycle (days) 73 80 37
 Count of Cos. 24,702 23,523 36
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 04 May 2021 1:37PM