Fiscal deficit likely to be at 6.6% of GDP in 2021-22: Fitch Ratings

The central government may keep the fiscal deficit at 6.6 per cent of GDP in 2021-22 as compared to budgeted estimate of 6.8 per cent of GDP due to better-than-expected revenue collections, according to Fitch Ratings. The rating agency had last week kept the sovereign rating unchanged at ‘BBB-’ with a negative outlook. Fitch Ratings Director (Asia-Pacific Sovereigns) Jeremy Zook further stated that there are two key positive triggers that could lead to a revision of the outlook to stable. First, implementation of a credible medium-term fiscal strategy to lower debt burden and second, higher medium-term investment and growth rates without the creation of macroeconomic imbalances, such as from successful structural reform implementation and a healthier financial sector. However, conversely, Zook pointed out that negative triggers could result in a downgrade. These include failure to put the general government debt-GDP ratio on a downward trajectory or a structurally weaker real GDP growth outlook.

References
1. https://www.business-standard.com/article/pti-stories/centre-s-fy22-fiscal-deficit-may-be-better-at-6-6-pc-on-stronger-than-expected-tax-buoyancy-fitch-121112200731_1.html
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
7.0 +0.7
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
59.8 -0.3
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
61.8 -0.5
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
56.6 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 20 Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21
New projects 1.50 2.26 2.64 2.09
Completed projects 0.87 1.17 0.72 1.09
Stalled projects 0.30 0.26 0.32 0.03
Revived projects 0.15 0.22 0.12 0.27
Implementation stalled projects 0.20 0.34 0.25 0.22
Updated on: 02 Dec 2021 9:28AM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Dec 20 Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21
All listed Companies
 Income 1.6 15.1 39.3 27.8
 Expenses 0.1 7.4 38.9 27.2
 Net profit 58.1 333.6 134.9 53.1
 PAT margin (%) 8.4 8.8 9.0 9.7
 Count of Cos. 4,462 4,391 4,479 4,495
Non-financial Companies
 Income 0.2 17.7 56.3 35.8
 Expenses -0.7 10.6 57.4 36.3
 Net profit 51.8 223.2 199.9 59.6
 PAT margin (%) 8.8 9.0 8.5 8.8
 Net fixed assets 2.2 13.9
 Current assets 4.4 17.5
 Current liabilities 0.8 6.8
 Borrowings -4.3 21.5
 Reserves & surplus 11.7 18.8
 Count of Cos. 3,284 3,247 3,299 3,285
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 02 Dec 2021 9:28AM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY19 FY20 FY21
All Companies
 Income 13.3 0.4 -1.3
 Expenses 13.6 0.4 -3.8
 Net profit 15.2 -10.7 50.4
 PAT margin (%) 2.1 2.1 6.5
 Assets 9.8 8.7 11.4
 Net worth 8.5 4.6 13.2
 RONW (%) 3.7 3.5 8.6
 Count of Cos. 32,313 31,235 8,302
Non-financial Companies
 Income 14.0 -1.4 -3.1
 Expenses 14.2 -1.1 -5.2
 Net profit 21.7 -20.8 40.5
 PAT margin (%) 2.9 2.4 6.0
 Net fixed assets 5.7 10.7 2.0
 Net worth 7.9 2.4 11.0
 RONW (%) 6.4 5.0 9.6
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.1 0.7
 Interest cover (times) 2.3 1.9 3.2
 Net working capital cycle (days) 74 81 78
 Count of Cos. 25,815 24,885 6,091
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 28 Nov 2021 2:41PM