C Rangarajan skeptical over India's growth story

Economist Dr C Rangarajan is skeptical about India achieving a real GDP growth of 9.5 per cent in 2021-22 as being projected by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), reported Financial Express. The economy grew at 8.4 per cent in the second quarter of the current fiscal, according to data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO). The growth in the April-June 2021 quarter stood at 20.1 per cent. Rangarajan is of the view that the second quarter GDP numbers seem to be just making up for the decline and there is not much positive growth beyond that. According to him, unless the third quarter and the fourth quarter growth is strong, it is unlikely that the full year growth forecast will come true. Instead, the economist expects the country’s real GDP growth for 2021-22 in the range of seven to eight per cent.

References
1. https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/meeting-the-imf-rbi-forecast-of-9-5-gdp-growth-this-year-now-a-challenge-says-dr-rangarajan/2379394/
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
7.0 -0.8
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
59.2 +0.3
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
60.6 +0.5
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
57.0 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21
New projects 2.36 2.74 2.25 2.51
Completed projects 1.17 0.74 1.18 1.52
Stalled projects 0.28 0.33 0.03 0.03
Revived projects 0.23 0.12 0.28 0.39
Implementation stalled projects 0.34 0.38 0.25 0.66
Updated on: 18 Jan 2022 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21
All listed Companies
 Income 15.1 39.2 27.9 15.7
 Expenses 7.4 38.6 27.3 17.2
 Net profit 337.8 142.5 52.6 9.3
 PAT margin (%) 8.8 9.0 9.6 19.5
 Count of Cos. 4,401 4,495 4,545 122
Non-financial Companies
 Income 17.8 56.1 36.1 18.0
 Expenses 10.7 57.1 36.6 21.6
 Net profit 222.4 199.3 59.5 3.5
 PAT margin (%) 9.0 8.5 8.8 18.2
 Net fixed assets 2.3 4.9
 Current assets 4.3 11.0
 Current liabilities 1.2 0.9
 Borrowings -4.5 12.2
 Reserves & surplus 11.7 12.4
 Count of Cos. 3,247 3,301 3,304 89
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 18 Jan 2022 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY19 FY20 FY21
All Companies
 Income 13.4 0.6 -1.5
 Expenses 13.8 0.4 -4.1
 Net profit 12.7 -6.9 62.0
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.1 5.7
 Assets 9.9 8.8 10.7
 Net worth 8.2 4.5 13.3
 RONW (%) 3.6 3.5 8.2
 Count of Cos. 32,530 31,471 11,634
Non-financial Companies
 Income 14.2 -1.2 -3.0
 Expenses 14.3 -0.9 -5.3
 Net profit 22.1 -21.1 49.3
 PAT margin (%) 2.8 2.3 5.3
 Net fixed assets 6.0 11.2 1.5
 Net worth 7.8 2.2 11.0
 RONW (%) 6.3 4.9 9.1
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.1 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.2 1.9 2.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 74 81 80
 Count of Cos. 25,943 25,015 8,657
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 18 Jan 2022 2:48PM