Retail inflation to rise to 7.4% in September 2022: Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank expects India’s retail inflation to rise to a five-month high of 7.4 per cent in September 2022. Inflation is likely to remain elevated if momentum of food and vegetable prices picks up further in the rest of the month. The bank expects inflation to average at seven per cent in October-December 2022 and 6.4 per cent in January-March 2023, with a full-year average projection of 6.9 per cent.

References
1. https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/retail-inflation-in-sep-to-rise-to-five-month-high-at-7-4-deutsche-bank-122092200410_1.html
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
8.3 +0.7
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
81.9 -0.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
81.6 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
82.3 -0.6
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 21 Mar 22 Jun 22 Sep 22
New projects 4.04 8.60 4.88 3.53
Completed projects 2.86 1.32 1.18 1.33
Stalled projects 0.08 0.43 0.53 0.06
Revived projects 1.98 0.33 0.29 0.09
Implementation stalled projects 0.66 0.09 0.29 0.26
Updated on: 08 Dec 2022 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Dec 21 Mar 22 Jun 22 Sep 22
All listed Companies
 Income 23.4 20.8 40.1 25.1
 Expenses 21.3 19.8 41.4 27.1
 Net profit 35.4 31.3 21.1 -3.0
 PAT margin (%) 9.0 8.8 7.2 7.7
 Count of Cos. 4,756 4,671 4,683 4,494
Non-financial Companies
 Income 29.3 24.8 50.1 27.8
 Expenses 28.8 25.7 52.9 31.5
 Net profit 19.2 9.8 8.3 -22.6
 PAT margin (%) 7.5 7.6 5.7 5.5
 Net fixed assets 2.0 3.9
 Current assets 15.0 19.3
 Current liabilities 11.7 10.8
 Borrowings 3.6 11.8
 Reserves & surplus 11.3 7.6
 Count of Cos. 3,439 3,387 3,414 3,330
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 08 Dec 2022 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY20 FY21 FY22
All Companies
 Income 0.6 -0.9 25.8
 Expenses 0.4 -3.2 24.7
 Net profit -3.8 75.0 61.6
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 4.3 7.9
 Assets 9.0 9.9 9.9
 Net worth 4.7 12.0 14.2
 RONW (%) 3.4 6.8 11.8
 Count of Cos. 33,421 32,202 9,171
Non-financial Companies
 Income -1.1 -1.9 31.7
 Expenses -0.9 -3.9 31.5
 Net profit -20.4 62.2 60.2
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 3.9 6.9
 Net fixed assets 11.3 2.2 2.3
 Net worth 2.1 10.5 14.8
 RONW (%) 4.6 7.5 13.3
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.2 1.0 0.7
 Interest cover (times) 1.9 2.4 4.3
 Net working capital cycle (days) 82 88 55
 Count of Cos. 26,380 25,257 6,870
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 05 Dec 2022 10:11AM