Amid Rupee fall, economists see MPC delivering 50 bps hike

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s monetary policy committee (MPC) will deliver a 50 basis points (bps) hike on 30 September 2022, economists surveyed by Financial Express said. According to them, the depreciating rupee will proportionately offset the benign impact of the recent easing in prices of certain commodities like oil and metals globally. The Indian rupee declined past 81 per USD for the first time ever on 23 September 2022. Economists also expressed concern over elevated import costs as purchases of commodities ranging from crude oil, edible oil, coal and fertilisers to finished products like electronics and capital goods from overseas are set to turn more expensive. Fears of elevated import costs may force the financial authority to announce measures to ease supply-side bottlenecks in the domestic market to control price pressure.

References
1. https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/economists-see-rbi-delivering-another-50-bps-hike-next-week/2688990/
2. https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/rupee-fall-may-force-rbi-to-go-for-another-big-rate-hike/2689234/
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
8.3 +0.7
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
81.9 -0.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
81.6 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
82.3 -0.6
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 21 Mar 22 Jun 22 Sep 22
New projects 4.04 8.60 4.88 3.53
Completed projects 2.86 1.32 1.18 1.33
Stalled projects 0.08 0.43 0.53 0.06
Revived projects 1.98 0.33 0.29 0.09
Implementation stalled projects 0.66 0.09 0.29 0.26
Updated on: 08 Dec 2022 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Dec 21 Mar 22 Jun 22 Sep 22
All listed Companies
 Income 23.4 20.8 40.1 25.1
 Expenses 21.3 19.8 41.4 27.1
 Net profit 35.4 31.3 21.1 -3.0
 PAT margin (%) 9.0 8.8 7.2 7.7
 Count of Cos. 4,756 4,671 4,683 4,494
Non-financial Companies
 Income 29.3 24.8 50.1 27.8
 Expenses 28.8 25.7 52.9 31.5
 Net profit 19.2 9.8 8.3 -22.6
 PAT margin (%) 7.5 7.6 5.7 5.5
 Net fixed assets 2.0 3.9
 Current assets 15.0 19.3
 Current liabilities 11.7 10.8
 Borrowings 3.6 11.8
 Reserves & surplus 11.3 7.6
 Count of Cos. 3,439 3,387 3,414 3,330
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 08 Dec 2022 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY20 FY21 FY22
All Companies
 Income 0.6 -0.9 25.8
 Expenses 0.4 -3.2 24.7
 Net profit -3.8 75.0 61.6
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 4.3 7.9
 Assets 9.0 9.9 9.9
 Net worth 4.7 12.0 14.2
 RONW (%) 3.4 6.8 11.8
 Count of Cos. 33,421 32,202 9,171
Non-financial Companies
 Income -1.1 -1.9 31.7
 Expenses -0.9 -3.9 31.5
 Net profit -20.4 62.2 60.2
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 3.9 6.9
 Net fixed assets 11.3 2.2 2.3
 Net worth 2.1 10.5 14.8
 RONW (%) 4.6 7.5 13.3
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.2 1.0 0.7
 Interest cover (times) 1.9 2.4 4.3
 Net working capital cycle (days) 82 88 55
 Count of Cos. 26,380 25,257 6,870
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 05 Dec 2022 10:11AM